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What are the two major potential risks of Bitcoin ETFs

Date:2024-05-17 19:37:29 Channel:Crypto Read:

In today's booming digital currency market, Bitcoin ETFs have attracted much attention from investors. However, in addition to the potential high returns, investors also need to be aware of the hidden risks. This article will delve into two major potential risks of Bitcoin ETFs to help investors understand this investment tool more comprehensively.

 Potential risks of Bitcoin ETF 1: Price risks caused by market fluctuations

As a derivative, the price of Bitcoin ETF is affected by market fluctuations. In extreme cases, Bitcoin prices may fluctuate sharply, bringing huge price risks to investors. Take the sharp rise and fall of Bitcoin prices from the end of 2017 to the beginning of 2018 as an example. At that time, the price of Bitcoin fell from US$20,000 to less than US$4,000, and many investors suffered heavy losses.

In addition, the price fluctuations of Bitcoin ETFs may also be affected by factors such as market sentiment, changes in policies and regulations. For example, the Chinese government’s continued tightening of regulatory policies on digital currencies has led to a sharp decline in the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, investors investing in Bitcoin ETFs need to pay close attention to market dynamics and do a good job in risk management.

 Potential Risks of Bitcoin ETF 2: Security and Regulatory Risks

With the rise of Bitcoin ETFs, security and regulatory risks have become increasingly prominent. Digital currency exchanges suffer from hacker attacks, internal theft and other incidents from time to time, and investors' assets face security risks. In recent years, security incidents have occurred in many exchanges, such as the bankruptcy of Japan's Mt. Gox exchange, causing investors to suffer heavy losses.

In addition, the regulatory authorities’ unclear regulatory policies for Bitcoin ETFs also bring risks to investors. Different countries have different stances on digital currencies, and frequent changes in regulatory policies may affect the legality and liquidity of Bitcoin ETFs. Therefore, when choosing Bitcoin ETFs, investors need to carefully evaluate regulatory risks and choose a regulated and compliant trading platform.

 Summary and Outlook

To sum up, as an emerging investment tool, Bitcoin ETF has high investment return potential, but it is also accompanied by market fluctuations and safety regulatory risks. When investors decide to invest in Bitcoin ETFs, they should fully understand the potential risks and take appropriate risk management measures to avoid possible losses.

As the digital currency market becomes increasingly mature, the development prospects of Bitcoin ETFs cannot be ignored. As the regulatory environment gradually improves and investors' risk awareness increases, it is believed that Bitcoin ETFs will bring more investment opportunities to investors. However, investment requires caution as risks are always associated with it. We hope that every investor can seize opportunities, avoid risks, and realize wealth appreciation in the pursuit of high returns.

The four most famous international exchanges:

Binance INTL
OKX INTL
Gate.io INTL
Huobi INTL
Binance International Line OKX International Line Gate.io International Line Huobi International Line
China Line APP DL China Line APP DL
China Line APP DL
China Line APP DL

Note: The above exchange logo is the official website registration link, and the text is the APP download link.


Galaxy
Digital predicts that the Bitcoin ETF will be approved by the SEC before January 10, 2024, which makes investors in the circle ecstatic. Many investors firmly believe that the Bitcoin ETF is expected to pass the application in January next year, which not only improves investor sentiment , has also driven the price of BTC to continue to rise. However, behind the optimism, there are also risks that the new financial product may face after it is officially approved. So what are the two potential risks of Bitcoin ETF? What impact will it have on future market development? This has also aroused the thinking of some investors. According to the current data analysis, there will be two main aspects: insufficient positions and liquidity. The editor of the currency circle will talk about it in detail below.

 What are the two major potential risks of Bitcoin ETFs?

According to the current data analysis, the two major potential risks of Bitcoin ETF are insufficient positions and Bitcoin market liquidity. The editor of the currency circle will explain it in detail below:

1. Under high demand, the issuer’s risk of insufficient positions

The first is about getting Bitcoin. When a Bitcoin spot ETF is issued, the issuer is required to purchase Bitcoin from a specific regulated institution to meet the holding requirements of the ETF; however, if demand for the ETF from institutional investors is much greater than expected, it may cause the issuer to be unable to meet these requirements. Difficulties faced when needed.

David Duong pointed out: High demand is of course a better situation because it reflects strong market interest in the product...but we need to pay attention to the issuer's under-position risk in the future.

This risk mainly depends on the liquidity of the Bitcoin market and purchasing restrictions imposed by regulatory agencies. In the event of high demand, if there is insufficient market liquidity, or limited supply from regulated institutions, this may cause ETF issuers to encounter difficulties in obtaining the Bitcoin they need, resulting in increased market volatility.

2. The decrease in basis trading returns may affect the liquidity of the Bitcoin market

A popular institutional trading strategy, basis trading risk, which exploits the price gap between Bitcoin spot and futures for arbitrage, also requires attention.

As more institutional investors invest directly in Bitcoin through spot ETFs rather than opting for futures or other derivatives, this will increase demand for the Bitcoin spot market, which may lead to a gap between spot and futures prices (i.e. basis). ) narrows, making this trading strategy less profitable.

This situation may cause some institutional investors to reduce trading activities in the Bitcoin market, thereby affecting market demand and liquidity.

 What does it mean for Bitcoin ETF to pass?

Once the Bitcoin ETF is approved, it means that the market will introduce trillions of funds into the market, which is a huge benefit for Bitcoin at present. A Bitcoin ETF is expected to increase the cryptocurrency's liquidity, and adding Bitcoin to such a large financial market will help increase its popularity and exposure.

For most conservative investors today, cryptocurrencies remain an unknown option, both a risky bet and a curious novelty. Bitcoin ETFs are expected to bring the mainstream credibility and acceptance of Bitcoin investment to a new level, thereby further enhancing the overall credibility and acceptance of cryptocurrencies. The SEC’s approval of a Bitcoin ETF would represent new recognition in the mainstream market and, more importantly, make it easier for institutional investors to take positions.

If the Bitcoin ETF is implemented, more and more people will be willing to understand Bitcoin, including its basic operation methods and transaction models, which will promote the global popularity of Bitcoin. At the same time, due to decentralization, these digital assets face greater security risks, and purchasing Bitcoin ETFs does not require direct currency holding, so that investors do not have to worry about the safety of their assets, which also greatly lowers the threshold for participation, without prior understanding. You can start participating immediately.

Once the Bitcoin ETF is officially listed in the United States, it will become a milestone event in the global blockchain field. The U.S. regulatory authorities have legally recognized the legal status of Bitcoin as a financial product, and the United States will have greater influence on the price of Bitcoin. .

All of the above is the answer to the question of what are the two major potential risks of Bitcoin ETFs. Although the reduced profitability of basis trading may affect the behavior of some institutional investors, there are many other factors affecting the Bitcoin market. It depends on its demand and price and is not entirely dependent on a certain trading strategy, so this change is only one factor that potentially affects the market. In short, Bitcoin ETFs can allow investors in traditional markets to access Bitcoin under supervision, and also open a new door for more institutions to apply the digital currency asset class.

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