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Bitcoin reserves decrease bullish on Bitcoin to $200000
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Date:2024-08-14 21:13:31 Channel:Crypto Read:
In today's world of digital currencies, Bitcoin, as an asset that subverts the traditional financial system, is facing unprecedented challenges and opportunities. As Bitcoin reserves gradually decrease, the market seems to be brewing a new bull market, and many investors have begun to predict that the price of Bitcoin may break through the psychological barrier of $200,000. This article will delve into the reasons for the reduction of Bitcoin reserves, analyze its impact on the market, and look forward to the price trend of Bitcoin in the coming period.
The phenomenon of decreasing Bitcoin reserves can first be analyzed from the perspective of the supply chain. The total amount of Bitcoin is limited to 21 million, which means that as time goes by, the number of Bitcoins available for trading in the market will become less and less. According to the latest data, more than 19 million Bitcoins have been mined, and the number of remaining Bitcoins is gradually decreasing. As the difficulty of mining increases, the speed at which new Bitcoins enter the market is also slowing down. This situation of supply and demand often leads to price increases.
In terms of market psychology, investor sentiment also plays a vital role. Recently, the price fluctuations of Bitcoin have attracted widespread attention, and many investors have begun to re-examine the value of this asset. Especially in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty, more and more people regard Bitcoin as a kind of "digital gold" to fight inflation and currency depreciation. This psychological expectation has not only driven an increase in demand, but also caused the price of Bitcoin to rise significantly in the short term.
Of course, the future of Bitcoin is not all smooth sailing. Although the market is currently optimistic about it, there are still many uncertainties. For example, the regulatory policies of various governments on Bitcoin may affect its market performance. Some countries have begun to impose stricter restrictions on digital currency transactions, which may cause investors' confidence to waver. In addition, competition from other digital currencies in the market should not be underestimated, especially as platforms such as Ethereum continue to launch new features, Bitcoin's market share may be eroded.
In this era of change, the trend of Bitcoin's decreasing reserves and rising prices has sparked widespread discussion. Many people have begun to pay attention to Bitcoin's investment opportunities and see it as a means of wealth preservation. Especially the younger generation, they are more receptive to digital currencies and are willing to take it as a long-term investment option. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin's price is expected to continue to rise in the coming period, even breaking through the $200,000 mark.
For ordinary investors, it is crucial to understand the market dynamics and technical background of Bitcoin. Before investing in Bitcoin, one should fully study its market trends and technical developments and choose the right time to invest. At the same time, investors should also remain rational, avoid blindly following the trend, and rationally analyze market changes to develop an investment strategy that meets their own risk tolerance.
In general, the reduction of Bitcoin reserves and the increase in market demand provide a solid foundation for its price increase. Although there are still many challenges in the future, with the advancement of technology and the maturity of the market, Bitcoin is expected to usher in new development opportunities. As an emerging asset class, Bitcoin is not only a symbol of wealth in the eyes of investors, but also an important part of the future financial system. In this ever-changing market, maintaining keen insight and flexible response strategies will be the qualities that every investor must possess. The future Bitcoin market is worthy of every investor's deep thought and expectation.
The four most famous international exchanges:
Binance INTL
OKX INTL
Gate.io INTL
Huobi INTL
China Line APP DL China Line APP DL
China Line APP DL
China Line APP DL
Note: The above exchange logo is the official website registration link, and the text is the APP download link.
According to on-chain analyst Willy
According to Woo, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) could reach a “conservative” target of $200,000 in 2021. The prediction comes as long-term investors appear to be more confident in the recent rally.
There are two key data points that suggest Bitcoin may continue to rise. First,
Hodlers (i.e. people who hold Bitcoin for the long term) are holding onto Bitcoin for longer than before. Second, Bitcoin held on exchanges continues to decline, which reduces selling pressure.
Entering the Bitcoin re-accumulation phase
The reaccumulation of Bitcoin has maintained a bullish trend throughout 2020. It has continued to reduce selling pressure on Bitcoin, allowing Bitcoin to achieve more stable rebounds without the large 30%-40% corrections that were often seen in 2017.
Woo noted that he is bullish for 2021 because Bitcoin’s re-accumulation phase means that there will be far fewer Bitcoins to sell compared to previous bull cycles. He said:
“I have never been more optimistic about 2021. This re-accumulation phase coincides with spot market inventory depletion, and is about 2x the time and depth of the last cycle. Exchanges will lose Bitcoin.”
As exchanges’ Bitcoin reserves decline, Woo finds that HODLers are “holding on more firmly.”
In 2017, the return for every $1 invested in Bitcoin was around $0.25. This figure increased to $0.35 in 2020, which means that more investors expect greater profits in the future.
Based on the combination of these two optimistic on-chain trends, Woo said that Bitcoin could “conservatively” hit $200,000 by the end of 2021. He explained:
“My top model suggests $200k per bitcoin by the end of 2021 looks conservative, $300k is not out of the question. The current market average holding cost is $7,456. You are all geniuses.”
As reported in May, Bitcoin HODL
Waves’ data also supports the view that hoarders during the 2017-2018 bull cycle (including high-net-worth individuals and “whales”) did not sell Bitcoin at relatively high prices.
However, this data also shows that after a long period of Bitcoin's rise, some coin hoarders from 3 to 7 years ago are taking profits and exiting, which increases the possibility of a short-term correction in Bitcoin.
Woo Claims Bitcoin Will Rise in March 2020
As Cointelegraph previously reported, Woo has been claiming that a Bitcoin bull run is imminent since March 2020.
On March 4, Woo told Max Keiser, host of RT’s Keiser Report, that Bitcoin could reach $135,000 in the next bull run. He said at the time:
“You could get a price that’s 35 times the cumulative average price — which is literally every high point in Bitcoin’s 10-year history — which is now over $50,000, but the longer it goes on, the higher it’s going to get.”
Although the price of Bitcoin dropped below $4,000 during the “Black Thursday” crash on March 12, shocking the market, it has since quickly recovered.
After Bitcoin’s strong nine-month recovery, the bull trend that was supposed to precede the March crash now appears to be in full swing.
But in the short term, analysts believe that the possibility of a recovery in the U.S. dollar could lead to a minor correction in Bitcoin. After the gold market experienced its largest liquidation in three weeks, analysts expect the precious metal to also rebound, which could hinder Bitcoin's upward momentum in the short term.
In addition to supply and demand and market psychology, technical factors cannot be ignored. The upgrade and optimization of the Bitcoin network has improved its transaction efficiency and security, further enhancing investor confidence. For example, the launch of the Lightning Network has greatly increased the transaction speed of Bitcoin and reduced transaction costs. This technological advancement has laid the foundation for the widespread application of Bitcoin and created conditions for its future price increases.
Despite this, many analysts remain optimistic about the future of Bitcoin. They believe that as more and more institutional investors enter the market, the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise. According to some studies, the participation of institutional investors can not only stabilize the market, but also provide support for the price of Bitcoin. For example, companies such as Tesla and Square have begun to include Bitcoin in their balance sheets, which undoubtedly injects new impetus into the future development of Bitcoin.
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