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How long will the Bitcoin bull run last When will it end
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Date:2024-08-21 18:50:43 Channel:Trade Read:
Analysis of the duration and end time of Bitcoin bull market
As the digital currency market continues to develop, Bitcoin, as one of the best, has attracted much attention for its price fluctuations. Many investors and market analysts are eagerly discussing how long the Bitcoin bull market will last and when it may end. This is not only related to the safety of investors' funds, but also to the future direction of the entire cryptocurrency market. This article will explore the current situation, influencing factors and future trends of the Bitcoin bull market from multiple perspectives, and strive to provide readers with a detailed analysis.
A Bitcoin bull market usually refers to a period of sustained price increases. In the past few years, Bitcoin has experienced several significant bull markets, each of which has its own unique reasons. For example, in 2017, the price of Bitcoin soared from $1,000 to nearly $20,000, mainly due to the market's enthusiasm for blockchain technology, the influx of investors, and extensive media coverage. This phenomenon is not accidental, but the result of a combination of factors.
First of all, market demand is one of the important factors that determine the price of Bitcoin. As more and more investors begin to pay attention to and invest in Bitcoin, the increase in demand directly drives up prices. According to CoinMarketCap data, the number of Bitcoin holders increased significantly between 2020 and 2021, especially during the epidemic, when many people viewed Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset. This trend has caused the price of Bitcoin to continue to rise, forming a sustained bull market.
In addition, the participation of institutional investors has also provided strong support for the Bitcoin bull market. In recent years, more and more institutional investors have begun to include Bitcoin in their investment portfolios. For example, Tesla announced the purchase of $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin in early 2021, and the price of Bitcoin subsequently rose. This institutional participation not only increases the liquidity of the market, but also enhances the recognition of Bitcoin, further promoting the development of the bull market.
However, the bull market is not all smooth sailing. After several rounds of price increases, the Bitcoin market is also facing many challenges. For example, regulatory uncertainty, market sentiment fluctuations, and technical problems may lead to the end of the bull market. In particular, the increasingly stringent regulatory attitudes of governments towards cryptocurrencies have made the market full of uncertainty. In 2021, the Chinese government's crackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading triggered sharp market fluctuations. Many investors chose to wait and see in this context, causing the bull market to stagnate temporarily.
The end of the Bitcoin bull market is often accompanied by a shift in market sentiment. From historical data, the end of a bull market is usually due to the market's increased uncertainty about the future, which leads to a decline in investor confidence. For example, after the end of the bull market in 2017, market sentiment quickly turned pessimistic, and many investors chose to stop losses when prices fell, which in turn exacerbated the downward pressure on the market. Therefore, understanding the changes in market sentiment is crucial to determining the timing of the end of the bull market.
Technical analysis is also an indispensable part when analyzing the duration of the Bitcoin bull market. Technical analysts usually use charts and indicators to predict price trends. For example, technical indicators such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI) can help analysts determine whether the market is overbought or oversold. When the RSI indicator exceeds 70, the market may be overbought and investors should be cautious. On the contrary, when the RSI is below 30, it may mean that the market is oversold and the chance of a rebound is increased. Therefore, combining technical analysis can provide a certain reference for judging the duration of the bull market.
In addition to market demand, participation of institutional investors, regulatory policies and market sentiment, changes in the global economic situation also have an important impact on the duration of the Bitcoin bull market. As the global economy fluctuates, investors' risk preferences are also changing. With increasing economic uncertainty, more and more investors may choose to invest in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin to avoid risks, which undoubtedly provides support for the continuation of the Bitcoin bull market.
However, the end of the bull market does not mean the decline of Bitcoin. Historical experience shows that even after the end of the bull market, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain strong and it still has investment value in the long run. Many analysts believe that the value of Bitcoin lies in its scarcity and decentralized nature, which makes Bitcoin highly resistant to inflation. As the global acceptance of digital currencies increases, the long-term prospects of Bitcoin are still promising.
In this ever-changing market, investors should remain rational, pay attention to market dynamics and policy changes in a timely manner, and rationally allocate assets to cope with possible risks. There is no fixed answer to the duration and end time of the bull market. The key lies in the investors' keen observation and judgment of the market. By deeply analyzing the dynamic changes of the market, investors can better seize opportunities and realize the appreciation of assets.
In short, the duration and end time of the Bitcoin bull market is a complex and ever-changing topic. Investors need to analyze from multiple aspects and make prudent decisions. No matter how the bull market changes, only by maintaining market sensitivity and rational thinking can we remain invincible in this field full of opportunities and challenges.
The four most famous international exchanges:
Binance INTL
OKX INTL
Gate.io INTL
Huobi INTL
China Line APP DL China Line APP DL
China Line APP DL
China Line APP DL
Note: The above exchange logo is the official website registration link, and the text is the APP download link.
Many investors know that there are two terms in the Bitcoin market: bull market and bear market. The bull market is the most popular Bitcoin market among investors. The coming of the Bitcoin bull market means that the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise, and investors are generally optimistic about the market conditions of Bitcoin. Generally speaking, the Bitcoin bull market will appear after the Bitcoin halving. Before breaking through the previous high, it is called the front bull market, and after breaking through the previous high, it is the back bull market. However, most investors know that Bitcoin is at the end of a round of bull market. Speaking of this, I believe many investors want to know how long the Bitcoin bull market will last? The following is a picture from the editor of the currency circle to introduce to you when the Bitcoin bull market will end.
How long will the Bitcoin bull run last?
The Bitcoin bull market cycle is about 6-18 months, and the period of the largest price increase usually occurs in the last few months of the bull market. The price fluctuation range of Bitcoin in the bull market will gradually decrease, and the entire market will become more mature and stable. The market value of Bitcoin will continue to increase with the application scenarios and popularity of Bitcoin, and is expected to move towards long-term stable growth.
In addition, in a Bitcoin bull market, trading volume usually increases as prices rise, and speculation and hype become more common. For Bitcoin investors, a bull market is something they like to see. A bull market refers to a long-term bullish market with a generally bullish market, and a Bitcoin bull market is a long-term bullish market with a generally bullish market.
When participating in the Bitcoin bull market investment, investors need to carefully control risks, formulate scientific investment strategies, pay attention to timely stop losses, prevent a rapid decline in investment value, buy in the early stages of the Bitcoin bull market, and do not sell easily unless there are sudden changes in the market. They should reasonably diversify their investments and not put all their funds into the Bitcoin market. They should also pay attention to the overall market environment and policy trends, set regular profit-taking strategies, and avoid risks.
When will the Bitcoin bull market end?
The bull market of Bitcoin is also limited, so there will be a situation where the bull market ends. So how to judge when the Bitcoin bull market will end? The following editor will introduce some:
We can judge from the price change rate of Bitcoin. If the price change rate of Bitcoin has been declining for several consecutive days, then the Bitcoin bull market may have ended. We can also judge from the trading volume of Bitcoin. If the trading volume of Bitcoin has been declining for several consecutive days, then the Bitcoin bull market may have ended. Finally, we can judge from the market activity of Bitcoin. If the market activity of Bitcoin has been declining for several consecutive days, then the Bitcoin bull market may have ended.
It can also be judged from some relevant indicators, such as:
1. Number of Google searches
According to historical data, the number of searches for Bitcoin will surge at the peak of the bubble, and the search volume in a new bull market will increase exponentially compared to the previous round. The current cycle has not yet exceeded the peak of the previous bull market.
2. Two-year MA multiplier indicator
This indicator is often used to observe tops and bottoms, and can determine in which periods buying and selling Bitcoin can obtain huge returns and whether it is suitable for long-term investment.
3. Bitcoin Rainbow
This is a way to look at long-term price movements that ignores the noise of daily fluctuations and follows a logarithmic regression. It can also be used to decide when to sell or accumulate Bitcoin.
4. NUPL indicator
Refers to unrealized net profit/loss. It determines whether the funds in the current market are in a floating loss or floating profit state based on the time of on-chain transactions, and then calculates the difference between unrealized profit and unrealized loss.
5. Reserve Risk
By measuring the risk and return to determine the timing of entry and exit, it can be used to reflect the confidence of long-term holders in Bitcoin at certain moments. When confidence is high and the price is low, the return of investing in Bitcoin is attractive; when confidence is low and the price is high, investing in Bitcoin requires higher risks. Currently, the reserve risk index is in the middle.
The above is the detailed answer from the editor of Coin Circle to the question of how long the Bitcoin bull market will last and when it will end. At the end of the Bitcoin bull market, investors may suffer certain losses. In order to avoid such losses, investors can also take some corresponding measures. For example, investors should pay attention to the market conditions of the Bitcoin market in a timely manner, adjust their investment portfolios in a timely manner, reduce investment risks, and pay attention to the price changes of Bitcoin in a timely manner. Be prepared to stop profit and exit in time. Never stay in the Bitcoin market for high returns, as some unfavorable situations may occur.
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