Bitcoin futures have always been one of the most popular focuses in the financial market. Investors are often hesitant about whether Bitcoin futures will rise or fall. Let's delve into this topic and unveil the mystery of Bitcoin futures trading.

In today's frenzy of the digital currency market, Bitcoin futures trading is seen as an investment method that carries both huge risks and huge opportunities. For investors, it is crucial to pay attention to the ups and downs of Bitcoin futures. However, whether it will rise or fall is not an easy question to answer. Next, we will conduct an in-depth analysis from multiple angles to reveal the mystery of the rise and fall of Bitcoin futures.

First, let's look at the rise and fall of Bitcoin futures from historical data and market trends. According to statistics, the price of Bitcoin futures has fluctuated greatly in the past few years, sometimes soaring and sometimes plummeting. This extreme volatility makes it difficult for investors to grasp the market trend. However, some experts believe that Bitcoin futures are more inclined to rise in the long term. They point out that as Bitcoin's recognition continues to increase worldwide, its price is expected to continue to rise. Therefore, for long-term investors, Bitcoin futures may show more of an upward trend.

Secondly, technical analysis is one of the important methods to judge the trend of Bitcoin futures. By analyzing the charts and indicators of Bitcoin futures, we can better grasp the market sentiment and trends. Some technical analysts pointed out that the use of indicators such as MACD and moving averages can accurately predict the rise and fall of Bitcoin futures. However, technical analysis is not absolutely reliable, and the market is changing rapidly, so investors need to be cautious.

In addition, the impact of global economic situation and political events on Bitcoin futures prices cannot be ignored. In recent years, factors such as global trade tensions and political turmoil have frequently occurred, and these events often cause fluctuations in financial markets. Bitcoin futures, as an emerging investment product, are also affected by these factors. Therefore, investors need to pay attention to the global economic situation at all times in order to better grasp the pulse of the market.

In addition, speculation in the Bitcoin futures market is also one of the important factors affecting price fluctuations. Some investors make profits by buying and selling Bitcoin futures in large quantities. This speculative behavior will aggravate the instability of the market and lead to sharp price fluctuations. Therefore, when trading Bitcoin futures, investors need to be cautious about the speculative sentiment in the market and avoid blindly following the trend.

In summary, the rise and fall of Bitcoin futures is not absolutely predictable, and the market risk is huge, so investors need to be cautious. Whether it is rising or falling, you need to look at it rationally and formulate a reasonable investment strategy based on your own risk tolerance and investment goals. In the end, successful investment requires not only luck, but also good risk control and rational thinking. I hope every investor will overcome all obstacles and move forward courageously on the journey of Bitcoin futures!

The four most famous international exchanges:

Binance INTL	OKX INTL	Gate.io INTL	Huobi INTL
China Line　APP DL	China Line　APP DL	China Line　APP DL	China Line　APP DL

Note: The above exchange logo is the official website registration link, and the text is the APP download link.

I believe that all contract enthusiasts are familiar with Bitcoin futures. After all, Bitcoin futures are still one of the most popular digital currency derivatives. However, today's article is about Bitcoin futures delivery. In recent years, the Bitcoin futures delivery day effect should be familiar to most contract enthusiasts. So, does Bitcoin futures generally rise or fall when they are delivered? The following editor of the currency circle will give you an in-depth analysis of whether Bitcoin futures rise or fall when they are delivered.

 Does Bitcoin futures generally rise or fall when they are delivered?

First of all, Bitcoin futures are trading the future price of Bitcoin. If the price of buying futures is lower than the price at expiration, investors will make money; otherwise, investors will lose money. The day of expiration settlement is called the delivery day. Futures trading is usually accompanied by relatively high leverage, that is, all profits and losses will be multiplied. Of course, futures can also choose to go short, that is, make money when it falls and lose money when it rises.

In the traditional stock market, the market fluctuations on the futures delivery date are usually very large, because investors' multiple profits and losses will be forcibly settled on that day, so they will choose to buy or sell stocks in large quantities to raise or suppress prices, so as to make more money in the futures market.

In the same way, in the digital currency market, when delivery is approaching, everyone will choose to raise or suppress the price of Bitcoin on the delivery date to ensure that they can get a more favorable price in the futures market. This is just like a long-distance race, and the last one or two hundred meters will choose to sprint. Reflected in the digital currency market, the volatility will be sharply amplified near the delivery date.

Although it seems that there will be a sharp drop every time the delivery is approaching, can it be said that futures delivery = a sharp drop? The answer is no.

In principle, the impact of futures delivery on prices is mainly reflected in

1. The final battle time for long and short positions in the market. The previous losses can be played dead and the margin can be replenished to continue holding positions, but on the delivery date, the losses must be realized, so the powerful party will use the power of capital to force the other party to suffer huge losses at the last moment, thereby making a profit.

2. Non-professional investors do not understand futures delivery. They only know that several major declines in history are related to futures delivery. Every time the futures delivery is approaching, they will instinctively sell in advance. But the big players who can really influence the market are obviously not non-professional investors.

These influences cannot directly lead to the conclusion that futures delivery = plunge. In fact, the general rise in the currency market led by BTC on July 17 was largely due to the fact that CBOE was going to deliver futures. Before delivery, a large number of investors in the market opened short orders. Large investment institutions such as hedge funds can only make more money by relying on the sharp rise in the spot market to make these short positions explode. Therefore, the increase in this wave of Bitcoin is very high. A large number of short sellers were liquidated in this wave, and correspondingly, those who are long also made a lot of money. Unfortunately, every time it soars, everyone will think it is justified, and when it plummets, everyone will look for reasons, so in the impression of ordinary investors, they will think that the plummet is related to futures delivery.

Therefore, the futures delivery effect is just more likely to bring about large fluctuations in the market, and it does not mean that there will be a plummet. If you have to talk about the relationship between futures delivery and price trends, it may be more appropriate to summarize it as "market reversal".

 Bitcoin futures delivery time:

The delivery time of Bitcoin futures will change with the regulations. Next, the editor uses the Internet as an example. Huobi.com Bitcoin futures delivery contracts provide four types of contracts, namely: weekly, biweekly, quarterly, and biquarterly.

Weekly contracts refer to contracts that are delivered on the Friday closest to the trading day; sub-weekly contracts refer to contracts that are delivered on the second Friday closest to the trading day; quarterly contracts refer to contracts whose delivery date is the last Friday of the month closest to the current one in March, June, September, or December, and does not overlap with the delivery date of the weekly/sub-weekly contract; sub-quarterly contracts refer to contracts whose delivery date is the last Friday of the month closest to the current one in March, June, September, or December, and does not overlap with the delivery date of the weekly/sub-weekly/quarterly contract.

Special case: Under normal circumstances, a new sub-weekly contract will be generated after settlement and delivery every Friday. However, after the settlement on the third-to-last Friday of the quarterly month, the quarterly contract will only have 2 weeks left to expire, and it will actually become a sub-weekly contract. If a new sub-weekly contract is generated at this time, the two contracts will have the same expiration date. Therefore, after the settlement and delivery on the third to last Friday of the quarterly month March, June, September, and December, the system will not generate a sub-weekly contract, but a new sub-quarterly contract. At the same time, the original sub-quarterly contract will become a quarterly contract, and the original quarterly contract will become a sub-weekly contract.

The above is the answer of the editor of the currency circle to whether Bitcoin futures generally rise or fall when they are delivered. Finally, the editor of the currency circle would like to remind investors that when playing Bitcoin futures, they must not exceed the amount of orders. If they decide to use 10% of the total capital as the risk limit for the transaction, they must seize this opportunity and never break this limit. Otherwise, they will most likely lose money. When the loss exceeds more than half of the total amount of funds, such transactions are too risky and cannot be afforded by investors with small funds. In addition, investors should be good at using stop-loss insurance to trade, and use stop-loss instructions to limit the amount of possible losses. The increase should be based on the previous situation of the futures market.